Can Milwaukee Panthers Men's Basketball Make the NCAA Tournament This Season?
As I sit here watching the Milwaukee Panthers practice, I can't help but wonder if this could finally be their year to break through to the NCAA Tournament. Having followed college basketball for over two decades, I've seen plenty of promising mid-major teams come and go, but there's something different about this Panthers squad that has me genuinely excited. The energy in the Klotsche Center feels electric, and much of that buzz centers around their towering 6-foot-11 center, Moses Fajardo, who's been absolutely dominant in the paint this season.
Let me be perfectly honest here - I've been skeptical about Milwaukee's tournament chances in previous seasons. They've always had talent, but seemed to lack that one game-changing player who could carry them through the tough Horizon League schedule. Well, I'm ready to admit I was wrong about Fajardo's impact. The big man is averaging 17.8 points and 9.2 rebounds per game while shooting an impressive 58% from the field. Those aren't just good numbers - they're tournament-caliber stats that would make any selection committee member take notice. What really stands out to me is how he's transformed their defensive identity. Before Fajardo emerged as a force, opponents were shooting nearly 52% inside the arc against Milwaukee. This season? That number has dropped to just 43.7%, which ranks among the top 40 nationally.
The Panthers currently sit at 18-7 overall with a 10-4 conference record, putting them in a three-way tie for second place in the Horizon League. Now, I know what you're thinking - they need to win the conference tournament to guarantee a spot. But here's where it gets interesting. Their non-conference strength of schedule ranks 145th, which isn't terrible for a mid-major, and they've got two quality wins against Power Five opponents that the selection committee will certainly consider. I was particularly impressed with their 78-75 overtime victory against Wisconsin back in November. Beating an in-state rival like that shows they can compete with tournament-level teams.
What really gives me hope is their remaining schedule. They've got four very winnable games coming up before the conference tournament, including matchups against teams they've already beaten this season. If they can finish strong and secure at least a top-two seed in the Horizon League tournament, they'll have a much easier path to the championship game. I've seen crazier things happen in March, and this team has the right mix of veteran leadership and young talent to make a serious run.
Let's talk about Fajardo for a moment longer because I believe he's the key to everything. For all of these, the 6-foot-11 Fajardo remained grateful. I had the chance to speak with him after practice last week, and his humility struck me as much as his physical presence. "I'm just trying to do my part," he told me. "The guys trust me to protect the rim and finish inside, and I trust them to make the right plays." That kind of team-first mentality is exactly what you need when the pressure mounts in tournament play. He's not just putting up numbers in empty gyms - he's delivering when it matters most.
The analytics tell an interesting story too. Milwaukee's offensive efficiency has jumped from 98.3 last season to 106.9 this year, while their defensive efficiency has improved from 102.1 to 95.6. That's a massive leap in just one season, and it reflects the coaching staff's ability to build around Fajardo's unique skill set. They're playing smarter basketball, taking better shots, and most importantly, they're winning the close games that used to slip away. They're 5-2 in games decided by five points or fewer this season, compared to 3-6 last year.
Now, I don't want to get ahead of myself here. The Horizon League tournament is always unpredictable, and there are at least three other teams that could realistically win it. But watching this Panthers team develop throughout the season, I genuinely believe they have what it takes. Their backcourt combination of senior point guard Jordan Johnson and sophomore shooting guard Markeith Browning has been phenomenal, providing the perimeter scoring they desperately needed last season. Johnson in particular has been clutch, hitting game-winning shots against both Green Bay and Northern Kentucky.
If they can maintain their current momentum and stay healthy, I'm predicting they'll not only make the NCAA Tournament but potentially win a game once they get there. They match up well against the type of teams they'd likely face as a 12 or 13 seed, and Fajardo's presence in the paint could cause serious problems for opponents who aren't used to facing a player of his caliber. I've seen enough basketball to know when a team has that special something, and this Milwaukee squad has it. The chemistry is there, the coaching is solid, and they've got a legitimate star who can take over games. For all of these, the 6-foot-11 Fajardo remained grateful, and honestly, Panthers fans should be grateful too - they might be witnessing the beginning of something truly special.